Here's another thread that supports that scary exponential growth hypothesis. I think we're really just hoping warm weather slows this things down, or obsessive hand-washing, or some other factor they're not considering. Like they said - even if their assumptions are way off - it just slows things down a couple weeks. That's how exponential growth works as anyone who's ever done a petri dish experiment can attest.
Of course it doesn't help slow the spread that a large chunk of the population still thinks this is no big deal.
By the way I started following the people who were predicting exponential growth outside of China over a week ago and if anything they've been slightly under the cases we're seeing. The # of new cases are doubling roughly every 6 days.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world...LBVT6O2RNI42TI
Quote:
Italy on Saturday reported 1,247 new coronavirus cases in the last 24 hours, the country’s biggest daily increase in infections since the outbreak began there in late February.
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And that 1247 is just among those tested. The real number is several times higher.