Quote:
Originally Posted by whoman69
IMO Cassel got a lot of boost out of all the talent on that offense. He doesn't have the deep ball. He has only one year of experience as a starter since high school. He's as risky as a rookie. There's always this big push to crown the backup who did a decent job as an NFL calibre starter. Scott Mitchell, Frank Reich memories should be enough to scare anyone. Longtime backups who get promoted seldom pan out.
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Why is Cassell considered a longtime backup? Does that mean that any QB that doesn't start in his first 2 or 3 seasons is a longtime backup? Where does that leave Philip RIvers, Aaron Rodgers, and Chad Pennington, among many?
You're generalizing. Do all first-time starters pan out? No. Do all longtime starter pan out? No. But to make your case, you bring up guys like Eli and Big Ben and conveniently leave out the long list of "blah" like Vince Young and Joey Harrington and David Carr. And you bring up failures like Frank Reich and Scott Mitchell but you don't bring up successes like Steve Young and Kurt Warner.
First round draft picks are better bets, but if you ask me, one of the reasons they succeed at a higher rate is that teams give them every last opportunity to succeed, whereas later round picks are given every last opportunity to fail. So when Eli Manning has a bum year, they give him another year to work it out. But when a 6th round pick has the audacity to have a good year, a team gives them a very short hook. QBs typically take 3 years to develop, and you rarely ever see a non-first or second round pick get more than 1 year.