[Azide22]

Originally Posted by DaFace

FWIW, the NYT simulator says we're 73% likely to get a bye if we lose one game and it's to the Chargers.

If we lose two games but both are to the NFC teams, we're 64% likely to get a bye.

If we lose two games, but one of them is to the Chargers, it becomes a coin flip.

Those first 2 being different is a bit amusing to me. They should be identical, because either of them requires Pittsburgh to lose 1 more (or more, but either way, it's still the same effect), and either scenario ensures KC would at least win the 3 way tie, or the 2 way tie with Pittsburgh.

Truly, in effect, losing the 2 NFC games is equivalent for KC to losing the 1 vs. the Chargers in terms of seeding. Either one requires one Pitt loss, and Buffalo doesn't matter.