Quote:
Originally Posted by mr. tegu
If the Chiefs, Bills, and Steelers go 13-3 then it’s different tiebreakers which can’t be determined yet. So the Bills getting a fourth loss eliminates that possibility resulting in our known tiebreaker advantage over the Steelers coming into play.
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This is true - though tiebreaker vs. Pittsburgh isn't assured YET. There is some good news though, on the tiebreaker front. First, if Pittsburgh loses again - in ANY of their remaining games, KC will have any tiebreaker against them, regardless of which 2 games KC would have to lose for it to come into play (by conference record or common games tiebreaker depending on which 2 games were lost). KC obviously holds a two-way tie vs. Buffalo in any circumstance by H2H. This means that KC can't finish worse than the 2 seed. Of course this year, that 2 seed not as great as it once was.
Next, KC would win the 3 way tie, IF the two losses were to the 2 NFC teams, because they'd have a better conference record than Buffalo or Pittsburgh.
If it's one vs NFC and also lose to Chargers, then it would come down to strength of victory. This is where it's crazy close, and it would be fairly critical that Chiefs one remaining win is vs. Saints rather than Falcons. If it was, the wins by opponents currently would be as follows (more is better): KC 79, Buf 78, Pitt 78 (best case - this would be Pitt losing to Cincy, so I don't think they have a chance). Dead heat, and remaining games would make the difference. Of course, again, Chargers win is trump card.
This is a lot of blah,blah, blah to say, I don't see how Chiefs do NOT get 1 seed, shy of losing to Chargers and Pittsburgh winning out. IF KC loses 2 games - assuming they don't take that last week off because they've clinched by then - they do not deserve the 1 seed, even if they still got it.