Thread: News ***NON-POLITICAL COVID-19 Discussion Thread***
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Old 09-17-2020, 10:25 AM   #44563
dirk digler dirk digler is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Clinton, MO
Quote:
Originally Posted by petegz28 View Post
So the 7 day average of new deaths is well under the 1,800 needed to meet the IHME's latest model of 400,000 dead by 1/1/21.

I think the IHME might be off a skosh...by about 1,000 deaths a day or so
I haven't really paid much attention to models recently but when I saw that projection the other day I thought it was really high. But then you go back and look at their projection history and they seem to underestimate quite a bit what actually happened.

This is pretty cool and it looks at all the covid forecasts.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/covid-forecasts/
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