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Old 08-18-2020, 07:25 PM   #43085
suzzer99 suzzer99 is offline
In Search of a Life
 
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: L.A.
Me too. They are doing a huge one in England now.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opini...381_story.html

Quote:
We desperately need larger, more comprehensive studies, and, thankfully, they’re in the works — one of the largest and the best will follow 10,000 British patients. But these take time to set up, and as genetic epidemiologist Louise Wain, a researcher on the British study, told me ruefully, “No one warned us a year ago that we were going to have a pandemic.” She hopes to have the 1,000th patient enrolled by September, which is amazingly fast, but still not quick enough for policymakers and individuals who have to decide whether to leave our hermitages.
Also notice the wording when they talk about the Germany study. They don't know if it's representative either. No one does.

Quote:
A recent study from Germany followed up with 100 recovered patients, two-thirds of whom were never sick enough to be hospitalized. Seventy-eight showed signs of cardiac involvement, and MRIs indicated that 60 of them had ongoing cardiac inflammation, even though it had been at least two months since their diagnosis.

If these results turned out to be representative, they would utterly change the way we think about covid-19: not as a disease that kills a tiny percentage of patients, mostly the elderly or the obese, the hypertensive or diabetic, but one that attacks the heart in most of the people who get it, even if they don’t feel very sick. And maybe their lungs, kidneys or brains, too.
But still - absent good data and with plenty of anecdotal data, I'm not going to gamble with my long term heart/lung function until we know more. I'd happily gamble a 1 in 1000 chance of dying to go back to normal life now. 1 in 10? chance of never being able to hike again is unacceptable to me. Also it's not like there's much covid-risky but otherwise normal fun out there you can do right now anyway - at least not in CA.
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