Quote:
Originally Posted by TambaBerry
i mean thats only 18 carries a game which is super low
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Here are the top 32 running backs of 2019 in terms of carries. It looks like 300 is the ceiling these days.
I think we're trying to balance a few things. First, there's evidence that a heavy work load will affect a running back's effectiveness in the long term. I don't know what stats cdcox used to establish that threshold of 300, but I'll trust his judgment. Again, if someone gets a heavy workload in the NFL the impact will already be felt in their next-year stats so it's irrelevant.
But I think the main thing we're guarding against is having someone use a fluke Beattie Feathers-type guy who has 100 carries for 1,000 yards as a bellcow back. But I do wonder if maybe we should/could tweak the rule a little bit. It's not the goal to penalize a Zeke Elliott or Derrick Henry for getting 320 carries (though I could see a cost if they go to 400).
Let me talk to cdcox to see what our full rationale and system is.
Derrick Henry 303
Ezekiel Elliott 301
Nick Chubb 298
Christian McCaffrey 287
Chris Carson 278
Joe Mixon 278
Leonard Fournette 265
Dalvin Cook 250
Marlon Mack 247
Sony Michel 247
Le'Veon Bell 245
Carlos Hyde 245
Josh Jacobs 242
David Montgomery 242
Aaron Jones 236
Phillip Lindsay 224
Todd Gurley 223
Saquon Barkley 217
Adrian Peterson 211
Mark Ingram 202
Player Att
Devonta Freeman 184
Miles Sanders 179
Lamar Jackson 176
Ronald Jones 172
Alvin Kamara 171
Kenyan Drake 170
Frank Gore 166
Melvin Gordon 162
Peyton Barber 154
Devin Singletary 151
Latavius Murray 146
Tevin Coleman 137