Quote:
Originally Posted by DJ's left nut
And again, why should we care at that point?
If they have to update their model every 3 days to get within a factor of 4, then they're just sticking their head out the window to tell us its raining.
They've already updated the thing once and it's still a trainwreck. There's something inherently flawed in their modeling. Don't 'update' it - scrap it.
This is akin to the efforts of Ford in the 80s to 'refresh' the failed 2nd gen mustang. What it needed was a clean-sheet rebuild.
That model is clearly built on a faulty premise. I don't know what it is because none of these people will release their source data (and I wouldn't know what to do with it anyway), but it's clearly a problem and we're still using it to make decisions.
Throw the damn thing out and start over.
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So you're saying things are looking better than the models, not worse?