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Old 04-03-2020, 10:27 AM   #16090
DJ's left nut DJ's left nut is offline
Sauntering Vaguely Downwards
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Columbia, Mo
Quote:
Originally Posted by TLO View Post
It does say it was last updated on the 1st and the next update is the 4th
FWIW
And again, why should we care at that point?

If they have to update their model every 3 days to get within a factor of 4, then they're just sticking their head out the window to tell us its raining.

They've already updated the thing once and it's still a trainwreck. There's something inherently flawed in their modeling. Don't 'update' it - scrap it.

This is akin to the efforts of Ford in the 80s to 'refresh' the failed 2nd gen mustang. What it needed was a clean-sheet rebuild.

That model is clearly built on a faulty premise. I don't know what it is because none of these people will release their source data (and I wouldn't know what to do with it anyway), but it's clearly a problem and we're still using it to make decisions.

Throw the damn thing out and start over.
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