Quote:
Originally Posted by SAUTO
But are those people that were using the vents?
That’s where the shortage is going to come in. It’s not all about beds.
And I quoted the wrong post. Sorry lol
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Cited the ICU figures as well, where the model is also significantly out of whack. And total beds would speak to surge capacity; creates additional avenues for reallocation of scarce resources. If you don't have the beds, the number of vents, improvised or otherwise, is immaterial. And vents can travel, beds really can't. So long as you have bed capacity, you can move vents around from areas they aren't needed to create additional ICU capacity.
WTF use is this model at this point? If the 'peak resource demand' date is still accurate, then our peak demand will end up a fraction of what it's claiming. And if the peak resource date is off significantly, then we continue to make shutdown decisions based on target dates that mean nothing.
Whatever the case may be, continuing to use that damn model as though it means anything is just silly.
I'm not objecting to the use of modeling to try to make decisions, but we have got to stop leaning into bad ones (days after they're clearly wrong) because they confirmed our viewpoints when they were released.
Get a new model - the IMHE model isn't worth a damn thing.