Quote:
Originally Posted by DJ's left nut
Because the number of recovered is the N that controls growth rate over a long-enough timeline.
That's how you eventually get your R0 nearer the 1 it needs to be to reverse effects.
It's not a celebration along the lines of "yea! That guy didn't die!!" It's an ability to monitor the other half of the equation. Without knowing how many people are now on the other side of the scale, we cannot adequately model any kind of growth rates or projections.
Knowing if/when/how the carrier pool is being reduced is vital information.
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vital information that im SURE the people that need it have. why does pete need to spend every day crying about the media not talking about it?
and with the # of asymptomatic (who knows how many) people out there walking around i'm not sure the recovered rate even means anything at this point towards knowing if the carrier pool is being reduced.
we wont know that until they actually do mass testing. THATS whats going to tell us what we really need to know