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Old 04-02-2020, 08:25 AM   #15222
Bearcat Bearcat is offline
Would an idiot do that?
 
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Arizona
Quote:
Originally Posted by DJ's left nut View Post
Recoveries is the the 2nd MOST meaningful number.

Deaths it the most critical, but recoveries is the only thing that suggests any sort of legitimate march forward.

Any legitimate plan forward, any real consideration of 'flattening the curve' - should be focused on surges in recovery rates while trying to keep deaths as small as possible. If any of these therapeutic treatments prove viable, it will be reflected in a shortened lag time on recovery rates and significantly increased numbers in them.

The idea that recovery figures are meaningless is absurd. That's the one metric that can provide signs of progress.
I can see the value in 'treated' patients versus 'recovered' and whether you're able to treat them and get them out the door faster than they're coming in... versus the sheer number of people who have come down with it and recovered.

AFAIK though, it's still just "you probably have it, stay home"... or if you test positive it's "you have it and need to quarantine", and I don't see much use in those stats.
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