Quote:
Originally Posted by cdcox
If you look at confirmed cases from the 22nd (33,592) and consider that only 10% of the cases are discovered, the calculation yields a CRF of 0.006 (0.6%), which I consider my (NOT AN EXPERT) lower bound of the CFR.
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That's reasonable.
Something else that gets often overlooked is that there is a certain percentage of the population that is immune either through natural immunity or recovery.
If that percentage is .001% then it doesn't matter, but given that the disease has run wild for quite awhile, that figure could be significantly higher. We have absolutely no clue.
We need to focus on serology testing if we want to truly get ahead of things. That should have been the focus from the start.