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Old 03-25-2020, 10:19 AM   #10985
DJ's left nut DJ's left nut is offline
Sauntering Vaguely Downwards
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Columbia, Mo
Quote:
Originally Posted by SAUTO View Post
but IMO at least , you can lessen that hit in other places by shutting them down.


the incubation period is ****ing us in this instance. terribly bad. by the time the numbers are spiking it's spread so far it's almost impossible to get it reigned in.


if you wait to shut down you're probably ****ed
But more evidence is emerging that this isn't really the case.

Again 3-5 day incubation period instead of 9-13 as previously believed. Significantly reduced rates of incidental asymptomatic transfer (most asymptomatic transfer appearing to come from sustained, intimate contact - that's why family transmission rates are so high).

The odds of you getting it because you walked near someone in a store, restaurant or office who was asymptomatic are almost infinitesimally small. It's largely close-quarter spread through sustained contact.

For the love of god, they have GOT to shut down public transportation anywhere it's still running. I'm hard pressed to fabricate a place more likely to yield the conditions that can lead to large-scale asymptomatic transmission.
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