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Old 03-25-2020, 12:01 AM   #10772
carlos3652 carlos3652 is offline
El Diablo
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Quote:
Originally Posted by RINGLEADER View Post
I’m not sure why anyone would disbelieve the data. It is literally staring all of us in the face. Comparing things to Italy would be dumb but you actually have a pool of infected so large that you can predict trends within a couple percent.

I posted that there would be 216 deaths today. There were 225.

For the next ten days the numbers are going to be easy to follow. After two weeks it will get harder because you should start seeing the effects of social distancing. That reduction in infected will get offset in some places by the lack of ventilators in others but if cities like LA can keep the rate of doubling down to every 3-4 days (or less) then we’ll peak around 3,000 per day which would be great. It’s NYC that’s going to be hard to watch over the next 2-3 weeks.
What’s nuts is that every country will go through this... not just us... just waiting on Belgium / Netherlands / France and Spain to explode in the next couple days.
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