Quote:
Originally Posted by carlos3652
14 days ago, Italy had 189 daily deaths on March 12th, 250 daily deaths on March 13th... USA was under 50 deaths at the time total.
USA just had 226 deaths yesterday in one day
2 weeks after they were saying we were on pace with Italy...
Who was right?
|
I’m not sure why anyone would disbelieve the data. It is literally staring all of us in the face. Comparing things to Italy would be dumb but you actually have a pool of infected so large that you can predict trends within a couple percent.
I posted that there would be 216 deaths today. There were 225.
For the next ten days the numbers are going to be easy to follow. After two weeks it will get harder because you should start seeing the effects of social distancing. That reduction in infected will get offset in some places by the lack of ventilators in others but if cities like LA can keep the rate of doubling down to every 3-4 days (or less) then we’ll peak around 3,000 per day which would be great. It’s NYC that’s going to be hard to watch over the next 2-3 weeks.