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Old 03-06-2020, 10:35 PM   #903
Chief Pagan Chief Pagan is offline
Sometimes it's black and white
 
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: California
Quote:
Originally Posted by KCChiefsFan88 View Post
All of this panic and overreaction for a virus that will have a minimal health impact on 80% of those infected (i.e. minimal symptoms or symptoms that are about the same as the common cold).

Quote:
Originally Posted by BWillie View Post
A 36 year old got it in Omaha. And is in serious condition with pneumonia.

Quote:
Originally Posted by KCChiefsFan88 View Post
And your point is what?
Did you follow what happened at Wuhan at all? A business as usual approach lead to hospitals being overrun with sick patients. First, they filled up the beds, then they filled up the hallways and waiting rooms, then they started filling up things like gymnasiums with cots, then they tried building a new hospital in a few weeks...

The full hospitals meant people couldn't get treatment for other conditions. Whether it was their cancer treatment or ear infection, or hip surgery or whatever.

For people that get it: some will have no symptoms, some will be no worse than a typical flu and can stay home, some will get very sick and need intensive treatment. Typically they will get pneumonia and will need to be in ICU and on a ventilator. Those over 70 even with good treatment could die.

Those 50 or under, typically can make a full recovery, assuming they can get good ICU and ventilator care.

If the hospitals are over flowing, then even the under 50 can die. This happened in Wuhan.

Yes, case number and deaths appear to be at least leveling off in China, if not declining. But the country is still under draconian quarantine. It is not clear what would happen if they suddenly went back to a business as usual approach. Cases might skyrocket again.

So it is worth taking this seriously and trying to be smart without panicking.

Nobody knows for sure how it is going to evolve. Warmer weather may cause it to essentially disappear until next fall/winter. By then, it may have mutated into a less serious form. We might have a vaccine or better treatments by then. Etc.

But we might not.

It appears to have hit Iran pretty hard and they haven't really tried containment. That should presumably tell us quit a lot in a few weeks.
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