Quote:
Originally Posted by wazu
Your 50X number is in the ballpark. Influenza is something like .1% death rate. COVID-19 is looking more like 3%-6.5%. It also seems to be exponentially worse for old people, so for younger people it would be much lower.
There's a possibility that death rate won't be that bad long term. It sounds like most of the dead in china are elderly men who smoked most of their lives. Smoking rates are lower in other countries. That said, so far we don't have any evidence in the U.S. that the death rate will be lower.
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The smoking rate is a reason for hoping the US wont get hit as hard. The US doesnt have as much air pollution either.
I wonder if the surprisingly low fatality rate for children is they havent yet been exposed to decades of modern air pollution.