[mdchiefsfan]

Originally Posted by Megatron96

Henry is going to get his yards. Maybe not 190 like our last meeting, but 150-170 is probably in the ballpark.

However . . .

The Titans are not a scoring machine.

Against the Patriots TEN only had 2 coring drives out of 10 possessions. A pick-6 is the extra score that gave them that game.

Against the Ravens TEN only had 4 scoring drives out of 10 possessions.

Against the Chiefs in the regular season again the Titans only had 4 scoring drives out of 10 possessions. Again, a turnover gave them the points they needed to beat us.

They punted against our defense 4 times, and turned the ball over on downs once.

Against our banged up defense.

On the other hand, the Chiefs scored on 7 out of 10 possessions. 3 TDs and 4 FGs. At least two of those FGs should've been TDs, but Mahomes over-threw Hill for an easy score, and Hill got hurt and couldn't bring down another.

And our OL got banged up in that game, and at one point 3/5 of our OL was comprised of back-ups.

But let's review:

On average, TEN on average punts away 60% of their possessions. Against pretty much everybody.

The Chiefs scored on 70% of their possessions against their defense. With a banged up OL and a rusty Pat.

Pat's not rusty now. I THINK IT'S SAFE TO SAY THAT NOW, AS HE ORCHESTRATED AN OFFENSE THAT SCORED TDS ON 8 OUT OF 12 POSSESSIONS LAST NIGHT.

Our defense is playing significantly better than when last we met. But let's say that our defense doesn't play one iota better than they did back then.

Even if we only hold them to their season/post-season average of scoring on 40% of their possessions, they aren't going to keep us from scoring on at least 6-7 out of 10 of our possessions.

Anyone think we can't score at least 5 TDs next week? In a whole game, not 41 minutes?

Their own tactic of grinding it out on the ground is going to be their undoing, people. If they only possess the ball 8 times, they only score 3-4 times. If we only possess the ball 8 times, we score 5-6 times.

If they only allow us 6 possessions (not really possible, but for effect), we score 4 times. They only score 3 times.

By the way, if you go back and just check their box scores for the season, they are boringly consistent about this trend. They are a field position team.

All we have to do is not spot them a couple TDs in the first quarter, and we'll be fine.

Great analysis. Chiefs should anticipate less possessions this game, so they need 7 more frequently when they have the chance.