Quote:
Originally Posted by DJ's left nut
Yards are more predictive over any appreciable timeline and a better demonstration of 'dominance' and/or duration that points surrendered.
Yes, in any given game, 'bend but don't break' can hold teams to field goals, keep the points down and win you a ballgame. But over the course of the season you're going to eventually run into that critical game where the red zone stops or 3rd down stops just don't come and you bend...then break.
Meanwhile if you're a team that excels at not giving up yards, statistically you're far more likely to be able to repeat that on a game to game basis.
That's why that 2016 season of his strikes me as a little bit of fools gold. His PPG was excellent but his YPG was merely above average. I believe the YPG was probably more demonstrative of the job he was doing and a lot of those cracks that were papered over in '16 surfaced in a big way in '17.
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Yeah, the yards don't matter crowd has kind of spoiled me here.
Technically, they don't. But you just can't rely on being great in the red zone. Stop teams before they get there.