Quote:
Originally Posted by Jewish Rabbi
I do. Winning teams don’t go after FA relievers.
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If you just look at the last 10 years and who were the top 10 relievers in each of those years, about one third of them would have paid off to sign to a multi-year deals (within reason). For every Rivera you have a Heath Bell, Carlos Marmol, or Jason Motte. For every Craig Kimbrel you have a Matt Capps, Joel Hanrahan or Chris Perez. for every Trevor Hoffman you have a Brian Wilson, Trevor Rosenthal or John Axford. Relievers even the best ones are tough to predict (actually I bet you would find similar results for starters as well).