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Mock 2/27/24 - Back to reality
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OC Creed Humphrey 5y/67.5m w/8.75m SB Cap hits: 3.5/9.5/12.5/13.5/14.5/15.8 (+1.75) - One of the top 3 centers in the game right now, I think he's worth retaining but he has to clean up his snaps. SS Justin Reid 3y/42.25m w/14.0m SB + convert 7.0m '24 salary to '25 OB 24.0m GAS. Cap hits: 10.8/13.6/15.6/16.6 (-3.50) - Reid is one of the pilots of the Chiefs defense with Bolton, you have to keep one and I'm choosing Reid. PK Harrison Butker 5y/32.5m w/6.0m SB + 7.5m OB in '25, + convert 2.48m of '24 salary to SB Cap hits: 3.8/4.6/6.8/7.5/7.5/6.8 (-0.84) - Butkicker is in the final year of his deal and extending him can gain you a little cap. Releases WR Marquez Valdez-Scantling (-12.0) - No sense in keeping MVS around for any reason. He's just not reliable enough throughout a season. DE Charles Omenihu (-7.22) - With Omenihu, it's take a pay cut on an injury year with a lucrative extension, or be cut. I have him cut, you can have him how you want him. Trades Chiefs trade WR Kadarius Toney to TEN for a conditional 2025 7th round pick (-2.53) - Toney punched his ticket into Reid's doghouse for sure and I think he's out one way or another. Chiefs trade CB L'Jarius Sneed off of the Franchise Tag along with 1-32 to the Philadelphia Eagles for 1-22 and 2-50. Restructures QB Patrick Mahomes converts 35.9m roster bonus to signing bonus (-27.47) FA Re-Signings DT Chris Jones 3y/84.1m w/20.0m SB + 2.0m/y in LTBE incentives to create 3/90.1m contract Cap Hits: 22.8/27.8/30.7/4.8/4.0 LT Donovan Smith 1y/10.0m w/3.0m SB + 2m in UTBE incentives LS James Winchester 3y/4.6m w/800k SB Cap Hits: 1.5/1.5/1.6 LB Drue Tranquill 2y/9.0m w/3.0m SB Cap Hits: 3.3/5.7 WR Mecole Hardman 3y/15.0m w/5.1m SB Cap Hits: 3.5/5.5/6.0 DE Malik Herring ERFA Tender DB Nazeeh Johnson ERFA Tender LB Jack Cochrane ERFA Tender OG Mike Caliendo ERFA Tender LB Cole Christiansen ERFA Tender FA Acquisitions WR Darnell Mooney (CHI) - 3y/28.5m w/6.75m SB Cap Hits: 5.0/10.0/13.5 - Electric Z/S WR that has put up 1k in this offense QB Carson Wentz (LAR) - 1y/1.3m - Just a better backup QB than Gabbert RB Antonio Gibson (WAS) - 2y/5.0m - A nice receiving back with rotational value as a runner DT Jordan Elliott (CLE) 1y/2.0m - Flashes of strong potential and former Mizzou El Tigre DE Yetur Gross-Matos (CAR) 1y/2.56m - Flashes solid play, bigger end that could start but might be best in a good rotation Let Walk QB Blaine Gabbert, S Mike Edwards, RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire, DT Tershawn Wharton, LB Willie Gay Jr, RB Jerick McKinnon, TE Blake Bell, WR Richie James, DT Matt Dickerson, TE Jody Fortson, DE Mike Danna The Draft 1-022: WR Troy Franklin, Oregon (6'3" 180) - Alpha WR :) 2-050: DT Kris Jenkins, Jr, Michigan (6'3" 299) 2-064: OT Kiran Omegadjie, Yale (6'5" 318) 3-095: TE Theo Johnson, Penn State (6'6" 256) 4-133: CB Andru Phillips, Kentucky (5'11" 190) 5-158: LB Nathaniel Watson, Mississippi State (6'2" 245) 5-172: RB Kendall Milton, Georgia (6'1" 220) 7-250: SS Daijahn Anthony, Mississippi (6'0" 195) The Roster QB: P. Mahomes, C. Wentz RB: I. Pacheco, A. Gibson, K. Milton WR: R. Rice, T. Franklin, D. Mooney, M. Hardman, J. Watson, S. Moore TE: T. Kelce, N. Gray, T. Johnson LT: D. Smith, K. Omegadjie LG: J. Thuney, W. Morris OC: C. Humphrey, M. Caliendo RG: T. Smith RT: J. Taylor, L. Niang DE: G. Karlaftis, M. Herring DT: C. Jones, K. Jenkins NT: I. Buggs, J. Elliott, N. Ferrell DE: F. Anudike-Uzomah, Y. Gross-Matos, B. Thompson LB: N. Bolton, D. Tranquill, L. Chenal, N. Watson, C. Jones CB: T. McDuffie, J. Williams, J. Watson, A. Phillips, N. Jones DB: J. Reid, B. Cook, C. Conner, N. Johnson, D. Anthony ST: H. Butker, M. Araiza, J. Winchester |
Worthy and Omegadjie are a very common duo in mock simulators for me.
Love it. |
We should have a Keeper Mock Draft Thread.
Everyone only uses the thread to edit one post with their own personal mock drafts, and general player predictions, (or predictions for the season) etc. No replying, and no posting comments etc. Just one post per user, and they edit that post as often as they like. Full disclosure, I don't even know if posts can be edited over and over. Then, as soon as the team with the first pick is on the clock, on draft day, the thread is locked. Then, we can all look back before the next draft to see who got what right, who was way off, and everyone can "keep" the players they believe they were right about, and those names will get added to their post in the new year's Keeper Mock Draft Thread. There could be a sister thread discussing the Keeper Mock Draft Thread, so everyone can point out that they were right, etc. but the actual thread would not include comments, etc. so that it's clean as possible. For me, like, I can't find my post from a few years ago, but I watched a KU Iowa State football game, and made a comment that I thought Purdy had some NFL potential. I wish I could point back to that post. I bet a lot of posters have made a comment like that, that they wish they could look back on, but finding a post that old is not easy, for me, but probably especially for the people who have post counts in the tens of thousands. Just a thought. What do you guys think? |
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I don’t disagree with most of this. The few things I do disagree with are: Toney - nobody is trading for him. He with either ride the bench or be cut this year. D Smith - I think the Chiefs have faith that Wanya Morris can fill in nicely at LT. And at the fraction of the cost. He filled in nicely for D Smith in weeks 12 through 17. But I do believe the Chiefs bring in camp fodder to compete with him. N. Allegretti is still on this team next year as an important starter or B/U. Backup QB - I think Oladokun has shown promise as a competent B/U QB. I’m sure there will be a veteran competing for the B/U spot but we are in that window where ever $ counts. If a position can be adequately filled by a player with a small cap hit I think that’s the direction we go just to keep our superstars around. Ie if not re-signing D Smith and not paying a B/U QB (and paying your punter pennies etc) means you get to keep Sneed. I think you do it. Willams/Watson/Boye Doe are great corners but aren’t in the same ballpark as Sneed and McDuffie |
I like it.
I dont think worthy measures as tall as his bio. He screams 5’10” (listed at 6’1”) He is an awesome fit for this offense. He could take over alot of the end arounds, screens and sweeps to get involved year one like rice did, while being a bit better of a deep threat too. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk |
I like it, other than nobody's giving anything for Toney.
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I disagree. Someone will give a conditional 7 for a punt returner in Toney.
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Worthy also adds the dimension of being a lethal punt returner for us.
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If I'm putting money on it, we're bringing Smith back and drafting a high-upside LTotF like you've done here. Protecting Mahomes is priority one.
If the board falls right, we could see an LT in Round 1 then a trade-up for Worthy in Round 2. |
I'm so close to liking this but I just can't get my head around the idea of 'letting Sneed walk'.
And if you do, it's presumably because you tagged Jones to buy time to work out a deal? Well if you do that and his starting baseline salary for 2024 is $32 million(ish) then there's no way he signs for 3/$84 million. It'll take more than that once you tag him. Which is why you don't tag him, JMHO. Put a tag/trade of Sneed for a mid/late 2nd and a 4th in there with the thought that the deal gets done quickly and then both Jones and Smith re-sign after the tag money gets traded away and opens back up. Then I can see all that being awfully close to what happens. Milton is an annoying likely pick at RB but I still feel like he's a little redundant and would sure like something different in that RB2 spot. With him, Pop and Perine you have 3 virtually identical players from a stylistic perspective. I still don't see a guy you turn to if you think you can find an advantage in, say, outside zone. That's why I've become such a fan of Jaylen Wright, but I'd imagine you have him off the board by your pick in the 3rd. You have a tendency to be pretty conservative on the 'available players' list for us. Moreso than me anyway; typically by about a half a round. |
I like it. I’ve really warmed up to Worthy as the pick too.
The one thing I would change is I don’t think the DT from Texas A&M is too redundant with Buggs and Farrell already on roster. I think they look at more of a penetrator to train up behind Chris. Someone like Justin Eboigbe or Gabe Hall. |
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And they seem to be interested in Keontay Ingram as a power back. |
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Oh, and he was friggen awful. I personally wouldn't have bothered to keep Prince on the practice squad. He didn't show anything at all back there. |
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Buggs is nothing more than a depth piece if you look at his NFL career. We will address the NT position beyond Farrell and Buggs either in free agency or the draft. |
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And he played quite well. I think they have a nice little NT rotation they could build from those two. You won't get a ton, but you don't need a ton from NT in this system. They're just there to take up space and both guys can do that. |
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McKinnley Jackson is a nice pick here, I think. |
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I don't see any reason to consider him as more than a camp body in that regard, though. |
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Having to use even a 3rd day pick to grab a guy who I don't think is going to be the caliber of player that Coburn can be is just frustrating. That was a mismanaged asset, IMO. |
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I don't think we've found our guy at NT yet. |
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But his effort against the Raiders was as bad as anything I've ever seen from an OL. Worse than anything even Jah Reid ever put on tape. It was horrifying. Take that game out of the equation and I'm somewhat confident in at least giving him a shot. |
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He followed up that game by allowing a very clean strip sack and fumble recovery against the Bengals. He is our swing tackle in my mind. |
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LT is one of the spots that is extremely iffy, it's basically trade up for a LT, start Wanya Morris...bring back Donovan or sign Tyron Smith and pray he can play 13 games and in the playoffs.
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I disagree largely on any thought that we're fine at NT. I think Buggs could be a player there, and he should be a factor, but we rotate our NTs about 50/50 and, IIRC, they see around 40-45% of snaps each. So, you need 2 guys there. The remaining percentage are pass rushers kicking inside on passing downs.
Buggs though, has 1 year starting in his 5 seasons in the league. Farrell hasn't shown me anything that suggests he's 1b at the position. I think he's a retainable piece you continue to develop, but I think we need a guy who can play some serious snaps. As for another 3-tech, I desperately wanted to add a 2nd DT in the draft. Maybe I would if I took DJ's take to the bank and traded Sneed. Now, I can see a path where DJ's take has merit in that you can let it ride on Hardman, Smith, and Tranquill and just tag Sneed and find a partner. If you lose any of those 3 in the process then you're not out so much you can't make it up with another option. The only issue is there aren't many options outside of Smith at LT and if you do lose him that "other option" just might need to be a higher draft pick. I'd like to avoid that scenario. I don't think you let Chris Jones start chasing deals in FA, you have to lock him up ASAP. There are teams flush with cash that will give him more than KC can. |
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I like it, just feel like Worthy is another Rice and I'd prefer a true X like Adonai Mitchell.. but again.. pretty solid
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So say we trade sneed for a 2nd now, who you taking with the pick?
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I'd sign a WR via free agency, flip Sneed to a team like the Rams for their 52nd overall pick, and package 32 + 52 to try to move up into the late teens to grab someone like Byron Murphy or one of the OTs we like if they fell to in that range. If we have confidence in our remaining corners without Sneed, then a trade for draft capital really frees us up to hunt BPA or move up for someone we really like. |
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Little change to this one with added trade of Sneed... just something to play with and chew on for now.
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Or, I would pick another wide receiver. |
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