DJ's left nut |
11-20-2023 12:05 PM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by bdj23
(Post 17232048)
Jesus ****ing Christ, he was cooked last year. Mo is worthless.
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Had some solid underlying numbers but HR luck murdered him. Busch reduces homers so that'll help.
I don't think he's cooked - but league average 4th/5th starter is all you're wise to expect from him. $10 million on a 1-yr deal is about what those cost.
The problem is that if DeWitt is going to hold the line on payroll, that's gonna be about 1/4 of the free capital that we have.
There's really no such thing as a bad 1-year deal and I'd be surprised if he couldn't pitch to 2 WAR or so next year. Somewhere between the guy that missed bats in Chicago but got blown up otherwise and the guy that managed to get outs without striking anyone out in LA is the real Lynn. And I think that's probably a tolerably mediocre high 4s pitcher who should be able to bank 160-180 innings.
I mean for the first 300 starts of his career Lynn was a guy who gave up a homer every 10 innings; a pretty solid HR rate. Then suddenly he gave up a homer every FOUR last season and that's just loony tunes. I mean your HR/FB rate doesn't typically double while your K rate stays stable. His FB rate was up a little so it suggests that the pitches aren't quite what they were, but I think he's quite a bit better than he was for most of last season.
If we sign Yamamoto (and get a real CFer) then I think this is a solid move for competition at the back of the rotation. If we sign Sonny Gray and roll with that as our big off-season moves then that's just business as usual.
"Buy your Lance Lynn 35 game season ticket packages now!!!"
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