Fed vs. Nadal in an hour. Based on what I've seen this week, I'll pick Fed.

3:30 am est.

I am taking Fed. He is my favorite non-american, maybe favorite in general, but I have no problem picking against him. I just think its his time right now to take Nadal. I would be down for putting money on him, but the lines have Fed favored by too much to get value. First time he has been favored over Nadal for a while.

Federer with the early break. He's playing at a very high level right now...the backhand's better than I've ever seen it.

Well, he completely stopped doing what was working for him and let Nadal back in it.

1-all. Federer's play has visibly dropped. Nadal's mental toughness and grinding has seemingly gotten to him once again. It has become a match very much like the one we've grown to expect between these two, and one in which I'd give Nadal an advantage.

Nadal is to fast for Federer. He's not getting any younger either.

Fed earns the break in the 3rd. This is a big opportunity for him, he really needs this 3rd set.

Nope, wasted it just like that.

Go Raph

Nadal wins the clutch points to win the 3rd set TB, as he usually does. Another example of why their H2H in slams is so one-sided.

Going to be very tough for Federer to come back from this in this match.

Federer had his chances to win the 4th set, but couldn't do it. Nadal wins in 4. He just has an incredible mental advantage over Federer that gets more obvious every time they play a big match. Confidence and mental toughness are powerful things in sport.

Djokovic and Murray tomorrow, then. If Novak wins that, I think he wins it all. If Murray does...I'd probably go with the experienced Nadal in the final.

Murray turning it around in the second set!

Murray gets the break in the 3rd. He has the talent to play with Novak, but does he have it within his mind to do it? It has always been at this point that he's choked in the past.

And Murray gives it right back...typical.